Trade Idea - Supporting Research - AUSTRALIA

System Type: EH Quantitative Directional Long

GRID Analysis for IVZ - INVICTUS FPO [IVZ]:

Invictus Energy Limited (IVZ.AX) explores onshore oil and gas in Zimbabwes Cabora Bassa basin, targeting growing regional LNG and LPG demand across southern Africa. Growth is driven by east-African rift discoveries, regional power deficits and rising LPG consumption. Direct ASX-listed peers include exploration-focused firms operating in analogous rift basins: Buru Energy (BRU.AX), Africa Oil (AOI.AX) and Range Resources (RRS.AX).

Score Power Grid T-Grid Price

Technical Summary for IVZ:

The last 2 sessions exhibit short-term trader bullishness. Price action strength has been developing strongly over the past 10 to 15 sessions. Longer term technical characteristics indicate bullishness. There is increased volume and price action with volatility building. The last 2 weeks are showing increasing amounts of bullish volume. Average session trading value has been increasing. Prices have been successively closing up, especially in recent sessions. The last session was bullish. There is increased volume. Last candle suggests a bullish upside reversal. Sortino Ratio indicates lowered risk. (2.21) AGL Ratio indicates low medium term expectancy. (0.19) Overall Market Index (^AORD) is trending Bearish - Strong.

Deep Research for IVZ:

Likely news-related drivers for the recent upward trend in IVZ.AX (Invictus Energy) price:

- Execution of a Petroleum Production Sharing Agreement (PPSA) with the Republic of Zimbabwe — provides a formal legal/fiscal framework, reduces regulatory and contractual uncertainty for the Cabora Bassa project and signals stronger government support (announced 28 May 2026). This type of milestone commonly raises perceived project value and investor confidence.

- Successful capital raising (A$10 million placement in April 2026) to fund the high‑impact Musuma‑1 exploration well — improves near‑term funding certainty so the company can proceed with the planned drilling campaign, which raises the odds of value‑creating exploration outcomes.

- Confirmation of a spud date / firming up of drilling logistics for Musuma‑1 (company announcements through July–August 2026; spud confirmed for November 2026) — a scheduled drill date is a visible, time‑bound catalyst that can attract speculative and event‑driven buying.

- Awarding of key well‑services contract to SLB (Schlumberger) for Musuma‑1 (ASX announcement 11 Sep 2026) — engaging a major international service provider reduces operational execution risk and signals readiness to mobilise the campaign, which markets often view positively.

- Progress on on‑site works and contract awards (wellpad preparation, drilling contracts earlier in 2026) plus inclusion of the Mutapa Investment Fund and related partnership items — together these items show execution momentum and stronger partner/government alignment, which can lift sentiment ahead of drilling.

Additional notes and caveats:

- These are plausible, news‑driven explanations based on company/ASX announcements and related reporting; price moves may also reflect broader market/energy‑price moves, retail speculation or changes in liquidity that are not captured solely by company releases (social/forum commentary has been active around IVZ).

- For confirmation, check intraday/volume data and the exact dates of the price increases against the announcement timestamps (ASX release times are the usual reference). If a detailed event‑by‑event price/volume timeline is required, that can be produced.

Analysis Date: 2026/09/16